New Quinnipiac poll finds Biden leading in New Hampshire

Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE has a narrow lead in New Hampshire, but Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.), South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegScaled-back Pride Month poses challenges for fundraising, outreach Biden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE and Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.) are all running strong near the top, according to a new poll.

The latest Quinnipiac University survey of New Hampshire finds Biden at 20 percent, followed by Warren at 16 percent, Buttigieg at 15 percent and Sanders at 14 percent.

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The Quinnipiac survey of Iowa released last week similarly found a four-candidate crunch at the top about three months out from the first ballots being cast.

“New Hampshire has mountains. Iowa has plains. They couldn’t be more different except for the results of the last two Quinnipiac University polls, which both show 4 candidates in the top tier,” said Quinnipiac pollster Tim Malloy. “Although Biden has a slight lead in the Granite State, it’s far from rock solid, and both states are clearly still up for grabs.”

Rounding out the field in New Hampshire are Rep. Tulsi GabbardTulsi GabbardGabbard drops defamation lawsuit against Clinton It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process 125 lawmakers urge Trump administration to support National Guard troops amid pandemic MORE (D-Hawaii) at 6 percent, tech entrepreneur Andrew YangAndrew YangGeorge Floyd protests show corporations must support racial and economic equality Andrew Yang discusses his universal basic income pilot program Andrew Yang on the George Floyd protests in Minneapolis MORE at 4 percent and Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy KlobucharHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Democrats demand Republican leaders examine election challenges after Georgia voting chaos Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk MORE (D-Minn.) and businessman Tom SteyerTom SteyerBloomberg wages war on COVID-19, but will he abandon his war on coal? Overnight Energy: 600K clean energy jobs lost during pandemic, report finds | Democrats target diseases spread by wildlife | Energy Dept. to buy 1M barrels of oil Ocasio-Cortez, Schiff team up to boost youth voter turnout MORE at 3 percent each.

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A strong majority of voters, 61 percent, said they could still change their minds before Election Day, and 14 percent said they’re completely undecided at the moment.

Among independent or “undeclared” voters in New Hampshire who say they’re likely to vote in the Democratic primary, Biden leads at 16 percent, followed by Sanders and Buttigieg at 14 percent and Warren and Gabbard at 10 percent.

Biden also leads among registered Democrats who expect to vote on primary day, with 25 percent support, followed by Warren at 24 percent, Buttigieg at 16 percent and Sanders at 14 percent.

Sanders has the firmest and most enthusiastic base of support in New Hampshire.

Fifty-seven percent of Sanders’s backers say their mind is made up and they’ll definitely vote for him. The next closest is Biden at 43 percent, followed by Warren at 29 percent and Buttigieg at 24 percent.

And 44 percent of Sanders’s voters say they’re extremely excited to turn out for him on Election Day, a 23-point advantage over Warren, who is at 21 percent. Only 19 percent of Biden’s supporters described themselves as very excited and 12 percent of Buttigieg’s backers said the same.

About one-third of New Hampshire Democrats said the quality they want most in a candidate is the ability to defeat President TrumpDonald John TrumpSenate advances public lands bill in late-night vote Warren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases Esper orders ‘After Action Review’ of National Guard’s role in protests MORE in the general election.

Biden is boosted on this front, as 31 percent of those polled who said electability is most important are backing Biden, followed by Warren at 20 percent, Buttigieg at 19 percent and Sanders at 6 percent. Sanders leads among Democrats who said “honesty” is the most important quality in a candidate.

Quinnipiac asked voters if they would consider former New York City Mayor Michael BloombergMichael BloombergEngel scrambles to fend off primary challenge from left It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process Liberals embrace super PACs they once shunned MORE if he were to get into the race.

Two percent of voters said they would definitely cast a ballot for Bloomberg if he gets in and 37 percent said they would at least consider voting for him. Fifty-four percent said they definitely would not vote for Bloomberg.

“If he truly is in, there is a lot of work to do,” said Malloy. “But with vast resources to draw from, Michael Bloomberg’s nascent campaign could morph from ‘under construction’ to ‘full steam ahead’ in a New York minute.”

The Quinnipiac University survey of 1,134 likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire was conducted between Nov. 6 and Nov. 10 and has a 3.8 percentage point margin of error.

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